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2026 p(doom)

AHA 2026 Leaderboard — AI–Human Alignment (overall score) by measurement date, with trend.

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p(doom) · as of —
—alignment pts / month
—latest trend score
—models measured

Method. Each dot is one model from the 2026 AHA leaderboard: x = date of measurement, y = overall alignment score (0–100). The dashed line is a least-squares linear trend. p(doom) = 0.5104 − 0.0066 × trend score at the latest measurement. Lower is better (for doom).